The show has begun; a global wave of interest rate cuts is approaching.

Europe has now thoroughly outmaneuvered the United States, and the Federal Reserve is under immense pressure.

Is the American dream of reaping benefits really about to shatter?

Faced with central banks around the world cutting interest rates, what pressures does the United States face?

What does this mean for the global economy?

After Sweden and Switzerland both cut interest rates by 25 basis points, Canada fired the first shot among G7 countries, announcing a rate cut of 25 basis points to 4.75%.

Do you think the global wave of interest rate cuts has ended here?

You're wrong; this is just the beginning.

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Now the European Central Bank has also announced a rate cut of 25 basis points.

This is the first time in five years!

It has also dropped a bombshell in the global market!

We must understand that the euro is the second-largest currency in the world, and Europe has more than 40 countries.

So, with the US dollar still maintaining high interest rates, the euro taking the lead in cutting interest rates is very unfavorable to the economic development of the United States, which may force the US dollar to cut interest rates as soon as possible.

Some professionals have analyzed that the next to cut interest rates are likely to be the United States and the United Kingdom.

If the United States really does this, it means that the United States will declare the end and complete failure of its harvest plan in this round.

Let's first talk about how the US dollar affects the exchange rate trends of global currencies in the US dollar's tidal cycle.

The US dollar is still the global currency and the world's largest trading currency.

Therefore, its movements often determine the direction of the global economy.

In the past US dollar tidal cycles, generally speaking, if the US dollar cuts interest rates, other countries' currencies will follow suit, otherwise, due to the significant appreciation of their currencies against the US dollar, it will affect their country's commodity exports, and then drag down their own economy.

If the US dollar raises interest rates, and other countries do not follow suit, then it will also be because of the strong US dollar index, which will cause foreign capital in their own country to flow back, emptying the liquidity of their own country, which is also a very terrifying thing.

It can be said that the US dollar has hijacked many countries that rely on the US dollar economy.

Let's take Japan as an example.

After insisting on negative interest rates for decades, it finally couldn't hold on in this wave of US dollar interest rate hikes, and the Bank of Japan adjusted the current negative interest rate to a positive interest rate.

However, in this round of the US dollar tidal cycle, there is a country that is an exception, that is, China.

The US dollar chooses to keep raising interest rates, but the renminbi chooses to keep cutting interest rates.

What is the principle behind this?

The answer is that our country has a very strict foreign exchange management mechanism.

You can go and understand the Mundell-Fleming impossible trinity.

Coupled with our country's huge domestic market, a huge amount of foreign exchange reserves, rapidly rising high-end technology, and we are also accelerating to get rid of the US dollar economy.

This makes the US dollar even if it keeps raising interest rates, the exchange rate of the renminbi against the US dollar is still very strong.

First, we can use a huge amount of foreign exchange to intervene in the foreign exchange market.

Second, we will not easily let these foreign capital make money and run away.

Moreover, these foreign capital will not choose to leave the Chinese market easily after seeing China's strong market performance.

So far, we can see that in the global economic pattern, China is the only country that can compete with the United States.

This is also the core reason for the Sino-US game.

Next, let's talk about what it means for the US economy that Europe cuts interest rates before the US dollar.

The most fundamental reason why Europe is so anxious to cut interest rates is that recently, the core inflation rate in the eurozone has fallen, and the economic growth is weak.

Cutting interest rates is to promote domestic investment and consumption, thereby driving the development of the country's economy.

We all know that in this round of the US dollar interest rate hike cycle, the performance of the euro against the US dollar exchange rate is still relatively strong, which also gives the euro the confidence to cut interest rates.

This time, due to the market's early rush, after the euro cut interest rates, the euro against the US dollar exchange rate is still strong.

Speaking of it, the direction of the US dollar will determine the direction of global currencies, and the direction of global currencies will also affect the direction of the US dollar.

This time, Sweden, Switzerland, Canada, and Europe have all started the interest rate cut cycle, and I believe that more developed countries will follow suit in the next step.

This means that the US dollar is continuously appreciating relative to other currencies, and the most direct impact is the export of US goods.

Because the price of US goods will become more expensive, and thus lose the advantage it should have.

We must understand that with the increasing intensity of the Sino-US game, many of the United States' technology companies are now crying out loud.

If the US dollar exchange rate continues to strengthen, I estimate that these companies will not be able to live.

The United States' trade deficit in April was $74.6 billion, which was further expanded from March.

So, this will force the Federal Reserve to enter the interest rate cut cycle.

However, we also need to be clear that the high inflation in the United States has not been alleviated.

In April, its CPI rose by 3.4% year-on-year, although it has declined, but it is still far higher than the current inflation level in Europe.

So the question is, if the US dollar chooses not to cut interest rates, then the siege of the world will immediately cause the US internal economy to collapse first.

If the US dollar chooses to follow the interest rate cut, then the high inflation in the United States will also rebound rapidly, which will also lead to the slow collapse of the US economy.

It can be said that Europe has thoroughly outmaneuvered the United States this time!

Finally, let's talk about what this means for the global economy.

It can be said that Europe has officially opened the prelude to global interest rate cuts, and more developed countries will join the wave of interest rate cuts.

So for the isolated US dollar, if there is no accident, the United States will definitely save the emergency first, then the US dollar interest rate cut will be a foregone conclusion, and the decline of the US economy is also destined.

This also means that the US dollar's round of interest rate hike cycle has ended, and the US harvest plan has finally declared a complete failure, the Sino-US economic game has also entered the end, and the global economic order will reshape at an increasingly fast speed.